Metals
Data through Oct 19, 2026 · updatedGold, copper and the critical minerals: what each is signalling, and where gold is most likely to be a year from now. Gold reads fear. Copper reads growth.
Gold says distrust; copper says slowing. Gold's most likely move is +6%, as central banks keep buying and investors hedge government debt. Copper drifts a little lower, about −3%, as China's slowdown outweighs grid and data-center demand.
Watch: Inflation-adjusted Treasury yields and central-bank gold purchases.
About the data12 months ahead · refreshed weekly
Each scenario is drawn as its own bell curve, sized by its odds; the white line adds them together. The gold line is the most likely outcome, the shaded bands cover two in three and nineteen in twenty outcomes, and shaded tails mark the outcomes we warn about.
Built from public market and economic data (largely the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis), Point75’s own credit and market signals, and judgement, and refreshed every week. Odds are probabilities, not promises. General market commentary for everyone alike, not advice for your portfolio.